4-3-1 LW and 8-8-2 YTD.
OK, I've shaken out the cobwebs and now I know these teams a little better, so it's time to get serious.
New York Jets (+6')
The Jets are 6-0 ATS the L6 in this series.
The Jets versus the division are 14-1-1 ATS as dog versus an opponent off a win. They are also 16-5-1 ATS as a dog of 6.5 or more versus division teams.
The Jets are also 17-4-1 ATS as a RD vs an opponent off BB wins and covers and are 6-1 ATS in their 1st divisional road game.
The Pats are only 1-5 ATS their L6 as a Home Fav.
I don't think the Jets are going anywhere this year, but they will keep playing hard for Herm Edwards.
THe Pats are having to reshuffle their defense with Rosevelt Colvin now out for the year. I think the Jets will be able to establish the run today.
Plus, there are reports that Pennington could return in Week 10. The Jets are trying to weather the storm early.
Pittsburgh (-4)
The Steelers are 6-3 ATS the L9 in Cincy. This is almost like a neutral site game since 15-20,000 Steelers fans make the trip.
They are also 10-2 ATS off a loss if they allowed 31 or more the previous week.
The Steelers are 7-0-2 ATS away off an away game and 8-2 ATS when favored by 6.5 or less.
Meanwhile, the Bungles are still probably stinging from the loss in Oakland (a game they probably should have won). Plus, they are continuously shifting their OL around.
Tampa Bay (-4')
The Bucs are 17-1 ATS off a loss as a favorite. I expect a blowout here.
The Bucs had 5 sacks LY and will be all over Doug Johnson. They also held Warrick Dunn to 27 total yards last year. In addition, Peerless Price is having trouble adjusting to being the #1 guy. He will double-teamed a lot today.
NY Giants (+2')
The G-Men are 6-0-1 ATS L7 in this series and the dog is 7-2 ATS the L9. They come off a tough loss, but I think they rebound here. The Skins are overhyped and have beaten 2 teams with backup QB's.
The Skins are only 1-10-1 ATS as a fav versus Division teams.
This line is too small for the Skins to cover. I think it's a trap. I go with the G-Men.
St. Louis (+3)
Very few trends favor the Rams here, but I do have a System for this one.
Go Against a HF of less than 7 that won its last 2 games by 14 or more:
Week 1: Seattle 27, New Orleans 10
Week 2: Seattle 38, Arizona 0
People are jumping off the Rams here, but I think they get the win today. The Rams clearly have more confidence with Marc Bulger and they actually ran the ball Lw with Marshall Faulk and Lamar Gordon. I really liked the way they spread the ball around LW against Frisco.
Also looking at Miami late.
OK, I've shaken out the cobwebs and now I know these teams a little better, so it's time to get serious.
New York Jets (+6')
The Jets are 6-0 ATS the L6 in this series.
The Jets versus the division are 14-1-1 ATS as dog versus an opponent off a win. They are also 16-5-1 ATS as a dog of 6.5 or more versus division teams.
The Jets are also 17-4-1 ATS as a RD vs an opponent off BB wins and covers and are 6-1 ATS in their 1st divisional road game.
The Pats are only 1-5 ATS their L6 as a Home Fav.
I don't think the Jets are going anywhere this year, but they will keep playing hard for Herm Edwards.
THe Pats are having to reshuffle their defense with Rosevelt Colvin now out for the year. I think the Jets will be able to establish the run today.
Plus, there are reports that Pennington could return in Week 10. The Jets are trying to weather the storm early.
Pittsburgh (-4)
The Steelers are 6-3 ATS the L9 in Cincy. This is almost like a neutral site game since 15-20,000 Steelers fans make the trip.
They are also 10-2 ATS off a loss if they allowed 31 or more the previous week.
The Steelers are 7-0-2 ATS away off an away game and 8-2 ATS when favored by 6.5 or less.
Meanwhile, the Bungles are still probably stinging from the loss in Oakland (a game they probably should have won). Plus, they are continuously shifting their OL around.
Tampa Bay (-4')
The Bucs are 17-1 ATS off a loss as a favorite. I expect a blowout here.
The Bucs had 5 sacks LY and will be all over Doug Johnson. They also held Warrick Dunn to 27 total yards last year. In addition, Peerless Price is having trouble adjusting to being the #1 guy. He will double-teamed a lot today.
NY Giants (+2')
The G-Men are 6-0-1 ATS L7 in this series and the dog is 7-2 ATS the L9. They come off a tough loss, but I think they rebound here. The Skins are overhyped and have beaten 2 teams with backup QB's.
The Skins are only 1-10-1 ATS as a fav versus Division teams.
This line is too small for the Skins to cover. I think it's a trap. I go with the G-Men.
St. Louis (+3)
Very few trends favor the Rams here, but I do have a System for this one.
Go Against a HF of less than 7 that won its last 2 games by 14 or more:
Week 1: Seattle 27, New Orleans 10
Week 2: Seattle 38, Arizona 0
People are jumping off the Rams here, but I think they get the win today. The Rams clearly have more confidence with Marc Bulger and they actually ran the ball Lw with Marshall Faulk and Lamar Gordon. I really liked the way they spread the ball around LW against Frisco.
Also looking at Miami late.
